Roll Up for the Cashless Panopticon

Money doesn’t just buy things — its anonymity can be liberating. But how long will that last?

Image credit: Tax Credits // CC BY 2.0

This article is about what happens when money stops being a physical thing and becomes something digital, something untouchable. But before we get into that, a confession:

Back at the tail end of 2013, a big black market went down with $85 million of its customers’ money. Or, at least, that’s what I (and bunch of other journalists) reported at the time—I now realize I’m partly responsible for spreading a dark web myth.

The market in question was Sheep, one of the many sites to pop up in the wake of the closure of the original dark web market for drugs, porn-site logins, and other illicit materials: Silk Road. These sites are only accessible via Tor, an anonymizing browsing tool that’s designed to help political activists in repressive countries avoid government scrutiny. The internet being what it is, that makes the tool good for avoiding law enforcement almost everywhere.

To buy stuff from these markets requires using the digital cryptocurrency Bitcoin. There are dozens, if not hundreds, of “what is Bitcoin?” explainers out there — YouTube alone is full of them — so I won’t bother covering old ground here. Suffice it to say, though, Bitcoin works because everyone can see the record of every transaction ever made. It keeps things honest. And when Sheep went down, the person or persons responsible for the crash tried to move their loot through the Bitcoin network using a standard tool called a tumbler. That’s a site that takes a number of Bitcoins, splits them into random parts, and mixes those in wallets with random parts of other people’s Bitcoins across a random period of time. By jumbling them up it should be impossible to work out which input transactions match up with which output transactions, and in the confusion, poof, the original amount is gone, untraceable.

The case with Sheep was noteworthy, simply because of the sheer quantity that had been stolen. Or, at least that’s what I reported at the time, when I was a science and technology blogger for the New Statesman. Someone managed to fake the account balances for users on the site for about a week — they’d show Bitcoin deposits, but really they were transferring out to the hacker’s wallet. The whole site was drained over the course of that December week until the site’s administrators realized what was happening and shut everything down.

At first the stolen amount looked relatively small — 5,200BTC, or $4.3 million. A vendor by the name of EBOOK101 was accused of exploiting a bug in the site’s code to pull it off. But once people began looking more closely into where their Bitcoins were going, it seemed the heist was much, much bigger than anyone had realized.

How big? Exactly 96,000 Bitcoins. That would have made for a haul, based on the exchange rate at the time, of more than $86 million. There have been very few heists of that size in history in the physical world. (And even at today’s exchange rate, long after the Bitcoin bubble burst, that’s something like $40 million.)

The person or people who stole from Sheep’s customers and vendors (I’m not naming names here, but the community has its own suspects) tried their best to tumble their coins and maintain some anonymity, but the sheer volume of the operation was just too overwhelming for tumbling to work effectively. A tumbler only has so many wallets, and dumping that many coins through one fills each of them up. If you’re tumbling your own small quantities at the same time, you’re going to see your own coins get mixed in with this massive haul. You can then work out—through a little determined joining of the dots—where that big transaction you’re tracking merges again a dozen or so transactions down the line in what is supposed to be a laundered, clean, new wallet . That’s how a bunch of Reddit users took it upon themselves to launch an investigation into the theft of their money.

They followed the loot around the network, until finding a wallet with those 96,000 Bitcoins inside. Each time, they’d send a tiny little extra fraction of a Bitcoin there — just to let the thieves know they weren’t in the clear yet. And the whole thing would start again.

That was the story that I reported, but something always felt … off about it. Like, why 96,000 Bitcoins exactly? It also felt too large. Sheep was by no means as popular as Silk Road had been, and the FBI only seized 26,000BTC from accounts on that site when they took control after the arrest of Ross Ulbricht in October 2013.

Here’s what might be the real story of those coins: The original haul was likely much, much closer to that original sum of 5,200BTC. The wallet with the 96,000BTC was, instead, one of many used by BTC-E, one of the larger Bitcoin exchanges. Those sites have lots of wallets with lots of transfers, in and out, every minute, and they automate internal transfers so that individual wallets don’t get too big. Every time those Reddit users were sending in a little fraction of a coin, thinking it was tipping the thief off that they weren’t safe, it was really just triggering some bot to automatically adjust that wallet’s balances. All those transactions flying back and forth can easily look as chaotic as a tumbler’s. Whoever stole from Sheep probably managed to cash out their coins at some point, most likely by converting them into another cryptocurrency like Litecoin, and then back again to (now clean) Bitcoins. The two networks are completely separate, and tracing such conversions is, while theoretically possible, orders of magnitude more difficult than trying to crack a simple Bitcoin tumbler.

This isn’t absolutely, definitely what happened but certainly feels more likely, based on the evidence available for us to examine. And with Bitcoin, there’s plenty of public evidence.


The Sheep heist stands as an example of something interesting and new: a burglary we could all watch happen, in real time, if we so wanted. Bitcoin has at its core something of a contradiction, considering the libertarianism of many of its biggest fans — it escapes centralized control by sacrificing privacy. Every transaction is public and permanently recorded in the blockchain. It wrongly gets called “anonymous” because, yes, you can open a wallet completely anonymously, and even move money in and out of the cryptocurrency economy using untraceable cash. But that record is etched there for as long as Bitcoin exists; once the anonymity of your ownership is removed, every past transaction becomes a matter of public record. You could create a new wallet and hide your new transactions, sure, but you can’t get rid of your past.

Would you want everyone to know every business you buy something from, however innocuous? I’m going to guess no. Think of this prospect as similar to how Gmail gives its users more than enough space to store every email they ever send or receive, meaning that I now have 10 years — a whole third of my life! — stored on servers. The long-term, mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies would mean accepting the idea that, at any moment, your entire purchasing history could be revealed to the world at large.

Even the person who invented Bitcoin can’t cash out on their multimillion-dollar hoard because everyone knows whose they are. Satoshi Nakamoto may be a neo-Midas who turned zeroes and ones into gold, but he or she or they can never touch it, because it would destroy their most valuable possession: their anonymity.

I use Bitcoin as just an example here; this applies to cashless money in all kinds of forms. All money, digital or otherwise, is intimately tied up with issues of identity, privacy, and freedom. As countries around the world move toward a cashless future, our ability to access and experience those things will change accordingly.

Money has always been tied up with identity. The traditional story is that the original human economies were barter economies, based around swapping one thing for some other thing. If I was a prehistoric chicken farmer, for example, and I needed some wheat, I could suggest and make a fair trade with a local wheat farmer. But, of course, say they didn’t want chickens but arrowheads — money entered the scene as a mutually acceptable thing that both of us would accept in lieu of something “real.” (That precious metals like gold make for durable, long-lasting coins or bullion bars is also suggested as a reason why it’s they, and not, say, rare plants, that get used as currency.) This is the story that early economists like Adam Smith told, based pretty much on extrapolating modern capitalism and individualistic property rights backwards through time.

We now know that that isn’t exactly true. David Graeber’s book Debt: The First 5,000 Years focuses on searching for evidence of a barter system like this among early civilizations, but nothing really turns up. Barter exists, sure — just the other day I bartered a tummy rub for some peace and quiet from my barking puppy — but in small-scale villages and towns, where everyone knew everyone else, you didn’t need money. My needing some wheat today would mean getting some from someone else with it to spare, with the understanding that at some point I’d repay the favor with chickens or by making a door for my friend’s home, or whatever. Collective memory was the financial system, and your trustworthiness — your word — was your credit rating. Debts were an essential part of community bonding.

Money used to be, near literally, your reputation among your neighbors; as money became a more diffuse thing, abstracted away from each individual, its relationship to personal identity changed, too. (Think about all the ways being rich gives advantages and rights when other people only have the letter of the law, at best, to rely on.)

Physical cash brings with it something else, though, in that a big abstract financial system with paper notes and metal coins lends itself to anonymity and secrecy and privacy. This is important and underrated. Our ability to function in any society is directly dependent on whether we have money to spend, and being able to spend it without anyone — our friends, our family, our colleagues, our employers, our governments — knowing is to keep open avenues of personal freedom. It’s good that someone can buy birth control without it appearing on a credit card receipt that gets mailed to their spouse, for example.

The future is going to be cashless, though. That’s what we’re told by tech prognosticators, and what the clear trend has been since the first true credit card was dropped into Fresno, Calif., in 1958 by Bank of America as an experiment in making it easier for people to buy things. (As always with important but unknown moments from history, 99% Invisible has an episode about it.) That’s actually a recurring thing with this stuff — they call it “friction” now, but there are a surprising number of people obsessed with shaving as many seconds as possible off the time between choosing to pay and actually paying. (It’s an obsession that’s pretty much exclusively reserved for Americans — from here in Europe, with a banking system that’s been quicker to roll out things like contactless payments, apps like Apple Pay and Square, or even Venmo, seem pretty mundane.)

And, admittedly, there are some compelling reasons to want to get rid of cash. It can be bulky in day-to-day use, and the infrastructure involved in printing, minting, verifying, and protecting it is immense in larger economies. The European Union, for example, is going to stop printing 500 euro notes (allegedly nicknamed “bin Ladens” among terrorists, but who knows if that isn’t just another press-spread factoid) because they make it too easy to smuggle cash in large quantities. Meanwhile, the arms race between central banks and counterfeiters never ceases.

Fundamentally, though, these are problems of control for central authorities—and taking away the flexibility and anonymity of cash makes it easier for them to do all kinds of things.

Here’s one example: If you’re a government that likes to tell poor people what to do, welfare cards are better than cash, because they physically stop people from buying things you disapprove of. This happens around the world, with certain things — usually alcohol or cigarettes — off limits to people who are perceived to be undeserving of access until they “earn” it.

Another: Credit card companies, banks—whomever the middleman is—can also control whom they deem to be an appropriate kind of person to lend money. Then there’s Paypal and WePay, which regularly shut down sex workers’ income streams, for example, because they disapprove of “adult content.” It doesn’t really matter what your political stance is on each individual case — it should be worrying that organizations that rely on private donations can have their entire existence threatened, not by the judicial system or a democratically elected legislature, but by a group of companies who exist to skim something off the top.

The people who use cash the most are, inevitably, the poorest, the most excluded, and least able to access traditional forms of banking. Cashless societies, centralized with banks and credit cards or decentralized like Bitcoin, all have their entrance fees and limitations compared to the informality and flexibility of cash.


Maybe there’s a third way, though. Here’s a fascinating report from Quartz by Tonny Onyulo about the rebirth of the Somali economy as the country stabilizes in the aftermath of its long civil war. Somalia doesn’t really have a cash economy in the traditional sense, because it doesn’t have banks either. It’s skipping straight to cell phones:

The Hormuud Telecommunication Company, a Somali firm established in 2002 during a lull in violence, introduced mobile banking in the East African country around six years ago. Now, it is one of at least three companies offering mobile money transfers in Somalia, where 51 out of every 100 people has a mobile subscription (compared to 22, only three years ago), and around 40% of adults use mobile money accounts, according to 2014 data from the World Bank(pdf).
EVC Plus allows users to purchase cellphone airtime for themselves or family members, pay water and electricity bills, and transfer money. It’s also designed so that users can set up automated payments, SMS reminders and financial reports without an internet connection. Almost every merchant in Mogadishu, even hawkers on the street, accepts payment by cellphone using EVC Plus.

This is interesting for two reasons.

The first is that it’s still, really, a cash economy — it’s just happening via text messages instead of the physical exchange of money. It’s not truly anonymous, but neither is it regulated like you’d expect a banking system in the West to be. It’s a demonstration that the convenience of cashless money (it’s quick, and it’s certainly safer in a country like Somalia) doesn’t always have to come at the price the destruction of the informality cash brings.

The second is that it’s a solid demonstration that cashlessness is not a conspiracy. It’s easy to say that stuff like credit cards and contactless chips and SMS bank transfers are designed by people who want to control the population more thoroughly. The truth — the boring, Sisyphean truth — however, is that innovation just … happens, and capitalism is exceedingly good at offering new ways to pay for things. The switch to cashlessness will be piecemeal and incomplete for many years and decades. Even if each single example doesn’t feel too bad — I don’t really mind as much as I should that London Underground has a record of every trip I’ve ever taken — the total sum of its effects will be to build a panopticon, a prison of record.

We should definitely examine how cashless systems roll out across all these different pockets of the world, and how well or badly they replace what came before. We should also see the transition as part of larger narratives about states pushing greater surveillance of public and digital spaces—part of stories about social control, about identity and nationhood. It would be a tragedy for the thing that raises so many people out of poverty to also simultaneously be what puts them into the unavoidable position of being surveilled. After all, we are what we spend.


This post is part of How We Get To Next’s Made of Money month, looking at the future of money throughout March 2016.

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